Analysis towards 2022 in economic and labor perspectives
By: Alejandro Miranda Guzmán, Director of Program Monitoring of SITIMM.
The first semester of this year has been characterized by various news of interest to workers, first the second wave of infections that threatened job stability and economic and social well-being, this, accompanied by the arrival of vaccines, a task that even this second semester of 2021 will still be part of the public agenda.
On the other hand, the high increase in accumulated inflation that at the end of July is projected above 5%, which makes us reflect that we will be having an annual inflation between 5.6 to 5.9%, data that we must address with great caution in the upcoming collective bargaining processes.
In economic matters, the data referred to us by the World Bank are positive but insufficient, since the economic growth forecast of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is estimated between 4.2% and 4.5%, this thanks to the implementation and industrial operation of the T-MEC and, incidentally, thanks to the automotive and auto parts industry in which SITIMM is a fundamental piece in the center of the country, since the increase in exports, the accelerated recovery of jobs, labor peace and authentic collective bargaining have been factors of labor and industrial revitalization in the Bajío.
Having said that, we must enter into the discussion and analysis of the importance of maintaining sustained growth and development in the economy of companies and our Working Base and their families, since economic development must be accompanied by better salaries and benefits incorporated in our Collective Labor Contracts, enhancing economic benefits such as the savings fund, food vouchers, quality, productivity and competitiveness bonuses, maintaining unity in union work and, most importantly, reinforcing union ideals of job stability, economic development and social and family well-being.
Today more than ever we must be guarantors and vigilant that economic reactivation is equitable, guaranteeing the inclusion of more women in workplaces, generating timely care mechanisms for those colleagues who unfortunately get infected, providing support at IMSS and in various workplaces and establishing a permanent campaign to guarantee compliance with infection prevention protocols. Likewise, generating facilities for our Working Base to get vaccinated; in this way we can have a significant reduction in the social, economic and labor impacts that this pandemic has left.
Regarding the projection of the increase in the Minimum Wage, our calculations for 2022 are an increase of 16% to 18%, to remain between $165 and $168 pesos per day, data that should serve as a reference for the salary negotiation processes of this second semester.
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